TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Vancouver and Seattle. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the match.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Vancouver vs Seattle NHL game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team wins by the stated goal margin—either Seattle by over 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Vancouver by over 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome conditions.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s immediately captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will likely diverge. However, it’s common to see a strong correlation, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, though those are often quickly exploited.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spreads for the Vancouver vs Seattle game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on the outcome, and their collective actions determine the price. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Vancouver vs Seattle game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to ensure accurate settlement of all contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Vancouver or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or time could also cause movement. As the game draws closer, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts will be closely watched by traders and could lead to further price fluctuations.