TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the goal differential in a professional MLS soccer match between Vancouver and Houston. It determines if either team secures a decisive victory by exceeding specific margin thresholds.
The market resolves to Yes if Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals or Houston wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Houston wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vancouver vs Houston professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. The outcome is determined by the winning team's margin of victory relative to the specified thresholds.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different favorites compared to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate house edges or public bias, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their own assessments, which can lead to divergence in implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point spreads. The current probability reflects the expected outcome based on recent trading volume and order flow. As new information emerges — like player injuries or changing team rankings — participants adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly. This dynamic process captures the collective wisdom of Kalshi users.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the game will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner.
Injuries to key players, changes in team performance, and coaching strategies can all shift expectations for the point differential and move this market. Media reports, expert analyses, and pre-game betting trends often influence trader sentiment. As Aug 20, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — such as lineup changes or weather conditions — may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi based on how they could affect the final spread.