TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 12:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This market measures the goal differential between Vancouver FC and Cavalry in their July 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League match. It determines whether one team wins by a margin exceeding specified thresholds, evaluated after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential in the Vancouver FC vs Cavalry professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for July 24, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the indicated margin: Vancouver FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or Cavalry winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The margin is calculated as the absolute difference between final scores, with the winning team determined by which side scores more goals.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the crowd-sourced nature of trading. While sportsbooks set their lines based on sharp handicappers and public action, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can create tighter or wider spreads depending on trader sentiment. This can sometimes lead to more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges about team performance or injuries.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top trade reflecting the most recent consensus. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to reward accurate predictions while limiting large losses from inaccurate ones. This mechanism encourages participants to carefully assess probabilities and adjust positions as new data about the teams or game conditions becomes available.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be calculated based on the official game result, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official score sources to confirm how the market will close.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay could all shift trader sentiment in this market. Additionally, strong pre-game performances in practice sessions or updates from team management may influence expectations for the final score differential. As these signals emerge, traders will adjust their positions, potentially causing noticeable movement in the market odds leading up to Jul 25, 2026.