TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Federico Valverde records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Lamine Yamal in the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC, as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Federico Valverde and Lamine Yamal in the respective team's Player Stats sections. For the purposes of this market, if either Federico Valverde or Lamine Yamal is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Federico Valverde records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Lamine Yamal in the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC, as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Federico Valverde and Lamine Yamal in the respective team's Player Stats sections. For the purposes of this market, if either Federico Valverde or Lamine Yamal is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 27, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants betting real money on the outcome, which can reveal information gaps or consensus that traditional oddsmakers may miss. Comparing the two can highlight where public or expert opinion differs, though both sources have value for assessing the likelihood of Valverde outperforming Yamal in shots on target.
On Limitless, traders set prices through continuous order matching, where buy and sell orders determine the current odds for this market. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregate confidence of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the odds up or down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations about whether Valverde will record more shots on target than Yamal, with each trade contributing to the final consensus price.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the June 27 match concludes and official statistics are available. The outcome is determined by comparing the verified shot-on-target counts for both players, with the result confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or reputable sports data providers. Traders holding positions in this market will see their outcomes finalized once the data is locked in and the platform processes settlement. Until that point, prices may continue to shift based on live match developments and updated expectations.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Team lineup announcements or injury updates affecting either player's availability or playing time would influence expectations. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head statistics comparing their typical shot volume could trigger trader repositioning. Live match events—such as early goals, tactical changes, or substitutions—may alter how aggressively each player shoots. Media commentary or expert predictions published closer to June 27 could also sway sentiment. Additionally, changes in betting patterns on related markets or sportsbooks may signal new information that traders incorporate into their pricing.