TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Murray State Racers (W)
Volume:
$824,881
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Valparaiso Beacons and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Valparaiso win and Murray State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard winner-specific resolution logic.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity issue on Kalshi. The market as stated cannot function - a binary Yes/No market must have mutually exclusive outcomes. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a template error or if the market structure has been misreported. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reliable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes regardless of outcome. Both Valparaiso victory and Murray State victory trigger Yes resolution. This violates basic binary market logic and suggests a critical data entry or template error.
- Polymarket: Market resolves to team name matching the winner. Valparaiso win = Valparaiso Beacons resolution, Murray State win = Murray State Racers resolution. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, overtime included in final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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