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Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Volume:
$988,780

Leviatán Esports

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 11:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leviatán Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103,235
N/A
N/A
$84,506
Settled
Yes
limitless

Leviatán Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$7,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

XLG Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,835
N/A
N/A
$108,584
Settled
No
limitless

XLG Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 59¢
58¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
17¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 42

Intro

This market tracks the map handicap outcome in a Best-of-3 Valorant match between XLG Gaming and Leviatán Esports during the VCT Masters London 2026 Playoffs Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for XLG to win by 1.5 or more maps against Leviatán's +1.5 handicap. Results will be resolved using official vlr.gg data, with credible reporting and video evidence as backup if vlr.gg does not publish final results within 2 hours after the match concludes on June 16, 2026. Watch the match outcome on that date to see if XLG's favored status translates to the projected map-count victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket) apply consistent resolution logic: official vlr.gg results with 2-hour fallback to consensus reporting, match completion requirements, 7-day delay threshold, and 50-50 resolution for forfeits/cancellations/incomplete maps.Primary resolution logic: Official vlr.gg (https://vlr.gg); consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if vlr.gg does not publish final results within 2 hours after event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-3 series, or to the team declared winner if opponent forfeits/is disqualified during play.
  • Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2, Map 3) resolve based on which team wins that specific map, provided the map is played to completion.
  • Round-total markets (Over/Under thresholds for Maps 1, 2, 3) resolve based on combined rounds played by both teams on that map, including overtime, only if the map is completed.
  • Map handicap markets (e.g., Leviatán -2.5 vs XLG +2.5) resolve based on round differential on the specified map, only if that map is played to completion.
  • Series handicap (Map Handicap: LEV -1.5 vs XLG +1.5) resolves based on total maps won; forfeited maps count if the match is completed.
  • Games Total (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3 maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played; forfeited maps count if match is completed.
  • Match-level markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled entirely, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined.
  • Map-level markets resolve 50-50 if the map is not played, not completed, or decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played to conclusion.
  • Team name discrepancies (abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are resolved based on the underlying real-world team, not exact name matching.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match forfeited before play begins: Match-level markets resolve 50-50. Map-specific markets resolve 50-50.
  • Match begins but incomplete; team forfeits mid-series: Match winner resolves to the team declared winner. Map-level markets resolve based on completed maps only; incomplete maps resolve 50-50. Series handicap and Games Total resolve 50-50.
  • Map played to completion then match forfeited: Completed map results stand for map-winner and round-total markets. Series handicap and Games Total count the completed map toward the total.
  • Match delayed beyond 7 days without play: All markets resolve 50-50.
  • Exact round total equals threshold (e.g., 20.5, 21.5, 22.5): Market resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours of official match conclusion via vlr.gg publication, or immediately upon consensus reporting if vlr.gg is delayed. Deadline for match completion is 7 days from scheduled date (June 16, 2026); if not met, match-level markets resolve 50-50.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between XLG Gaming and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 16 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against Leviatán Esports. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against XLG Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the XLG Gaming vs. Leviatán Esports Valorant match scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT as part of VCT Masters London 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match. In the event the match does not occur as scheduled, is postponed, or results in a draw or other non-decisive outcome, resolution will be determined by official VCT tournament records and announcements.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between XLG Gaming and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London 2026, scheduled for Jun 16, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets let traders directly buy and sell shares reflecting their true belief in an outcome. This market's odds emerge from supply and demand rather than a bookmaker's model, often making prediction markets more efficient at pricing uncertainty. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated risk management teams. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Kalshi and Limitless may also have slightly different order-book depths or user bases with distinct risk appetites for esports outcomes. Timing lags in information flow across platforms can create temporary spreads, especially if one venue receives team roster updates or injury news before the other. These gaps typically narrow as traders arbitrage between venues, but they offer opportunities for sharp bettors monitoring both platforms simultaneously.