TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
Volume:
$112,702
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between Wolves Esports and Trace Esports in the VCT China Group Omega, scheduled for April 2 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), a map handicap bet, and total maps played, all resolving based on official VCT results from vlr.gg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets resolve on whether either team wins the match (YES for any outcome), creating a logical contradiction where all realistic scenarios resolve YES. Polymarket's markets resolve on specific match outcomes, map winners, and handicap conditions with clear YES/NO or team-specific resolutions. These are fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically unresolvable. Both Kalshi markets (items 1-2) state YES if Wolves wins OR if Trace wins, meaning YES resolves for every possible match outcome. Polymarket markets (items 3-11) have standard sports betting logic with clear winner/loser or over/under outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 states 'If Wolves Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Trace Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one team must win, both markets always resolve YES, creating a data integrity failure. No NO resolution path exists.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate markets with standard binary or outcome-specific resolution logic. Market 3 (Map 2 Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if incomplete. Market 4 (Handicap) resolves to Trace Esports if they win 2+ more maps, else Wolves Esports. Market 5 (O/U 2.5 maps) resolves Over if 3+ maps played, else Under. Market 8 (Match Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled/forfeited. Market 10 (Map 1 Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if incomplete. All use vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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