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Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Volume:
$112,702

Trace Esports

 - Kalshi

Trace Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trace Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,175
N/A
N/A
$12,369
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wolves Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,898
N/A
N/A
$7,162
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between Wolves Esports and Trace Esports in the VCT China Group Omega, scheduled for April 2 at 5:00 AM ET. Markets span the overall match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), a map handicap bet, and total maps played, all resolving based on official VCT results from vlr.gg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's markets resolve on whether either team wins the match (YES for any outcome), creating a logical contradiction where all realistic scenarios resolve YES. Polymarket's markets resolve on specific match outcomes, map winners, and handicap conditions with clear YES/NO or team-specific resolutions. These are fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically unresolvable. Both Kalshi markets (items 1-2) state YES if Wolves wins OR if Trace wins, meaning YES resolves for every possible match outcome. Polymarket markets (items 3-11) have standard sports betting logic with clear winner/loser or over/under outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 states 'If Wolves Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Trace Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one team must win, both markets always resolve YES, creating a data integrity failure. No NO resolution path exists.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate markets with standard binary or outcome-specific resolution logic. Market 3 (Map 2 Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if incomplete. Market 4 (Handicap) resolves to Trace Esports if they win 2+ more maps, else Wolves Esports. Market 5 (O/U 2.5 maps) resolves Over if 3+ maps played, else Under. Market 8 (Match Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled/forfeited. Market 10 (Map 1 Winner) resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if incomplete. All use vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.