TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 6:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against UCAM Esports Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against UCAM Esports Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket price outcomes based on trader consensus and real-money conviction. For esports events like this one, prediction markets may react faster to roster changes, scrim results, or team news because traders have direct financial exposure. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders are more bullish on a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current leading outcome reflects trader positioning; as more capital flows into one side, the price adjusts to rebalance the pool. Liquidity providers and arbitrageurs help tighten spreads, making prices more efficient over time. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves, with your fill price determined by the current state of the liquidity pool and order flow.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual performance and final score of the competition, confirmed through official esports sources and broadcast records. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for results to be publicly confirmed and any disputes to be addressed. Traders should monitor official VCL EMEA channels and team announcements to stay informed of any scheduling changes or postponements that could affect the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent scrim results, and head-to-head performance trends. Patch updates to Valorant itself can shift meta dynamics and team preparation strategies. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting syndicate activity often precede large price swings. Team statements about preparation, coaching changes, or internal morale can also influence trader conviction. As the match date approaches, any official delays, venue changes, or format adjustments will likely trigger repricing. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for breaking developments that could reshape market odds.