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404,028

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Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

Volume:
$142,075

SK Nebula

 - Kalshi

SK Nebula - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SK Nebula

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,302
N/A
N/A
$21,929
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
41¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
46%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$591
$1,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Twisted Minds Orchid

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,765
N/A
N/A
$45,143
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+1.5)

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: TMO (-1.5) vs SK Nebula (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SK Nebula (-2.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+2.5)

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SK Nebula (-2.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+2.5)

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SK Nebula (-2.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+2.5)

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Description

This group covers prediction markets for the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Twisted Minds Orchid and SK Nebula in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs. Markets include match winner, map winners, total games, and various handicaps and round totals for individual maps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution logic based on official VLR.GG results with credible reporting backup, consistent handling of cancellations/incompletes, and map-specific completion requirements.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://vlr.gg, with credible reporting (including video evidence) as backup if VLR.GG doesn't publish within 2 hours

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the team that wins the BO3 series, 50-50 for cancellations/incompletes
  • Map winner markets resolve based on completed maps only, 50-50 if map not completed
  • Total games markets resolve to Over/Under based on total maps played in completed series
  • Handicap and round total markets resolve based on completed map scores, 50-50 if map not completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellations/Delays: All markets resolve 50-50 if match is canceled not played at all, ends in tie, or delayed >7 days without winner determined
  • Forfeits/Walkovers: Match winner resolves to winning team if match begins and ends via forfeiture; 50-50 if team withdraws before start
  • Incomplete Maps: Map-specific markets (winner, handicap, rounds) resolve 50-50 if map not completed regardless of match outcome
Timing: Resolution occurs after official results are published on https://vlr.gg (or within 2 hours via credible reporting if delayed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Twisted Minds Orchid and SK Nebula in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds Orchid" if Twisted Minds Orchid win the match against SK Nebula. This market will resolve to "SK Nebula" if SK Nebula win the match against Twisted Minds Orchid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If SK Nebula wins the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Twisted Minds Orchid wins the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: SK Nebula vs. Twisted Minds Orchid Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Twisted Minds Orchid and SK Nebula in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds Orchid" if Twisted Minds Orchid win the match against SK Nebula. This market will resolve to "SK Nebula" if SK Nebula win the match against Twisted Minds Orchid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the VCT Game Changers BO3 match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the odds of each team winning across the series. It tracks total volume of $142,075 and 24-hour volume of $139,854, letting you see consensus views and cross-platform sentiment for this market.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can diverge due to differences in user bases, liquidity depth, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract more esports-focused traders who price in recent team form and map-specific strategies, while Kalshi could reflect broader or more conservative bettors. Liquidity gaps — especially with a volume of $142,075 — can amplify price swings on smaller platforms. Additionally, each venue may handle fee structures differently, influencing how traders hedge positions and thus shape the odds for this market.