TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 1:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the Valorant best-of-three match between The Spiders and Axolotl in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs. Markets span the series winner, individual map winners, and total games played.
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between The Spiders and Axolotl in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "The Spiders" if The Spiders win the match against Axolotl. This market will resolve to "Axolotl" if Axolotl win the match against The Spiders. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This event resolves based on the result of map 2 in the NLC 2026 match between Arctic Pandas and Verdant, scheduled for August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming VCT best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-09-01 21:15 UTC: if Axolotl wins the series, the market will resolve to "Axolotl"; if The Spiders wins the series, the market will resolve to "The Spiders". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official VCT broadcast and https://valorantesports.com/; community coverage on vlr.gg may be used as a supplementary source. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
On Kalshi and Opinion, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, trading volume, and how each platform handles order flow. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, if one venue has more traders focused on esports analytics while the other attracts general sports bettors, their collective views on the likely map winner will diverge. This often produces distinct implied probabilities until one side gains a clear edge.
Key signals that could shift this market include practice session performances, player injuries or lineup changes, and pre-match analyst forecasts. Any unexpected upset in earlier maps of the series may also sway trader sentiment sharply, causing rapid odds adjustments on both Kalshi and Opinion as the match clock runs down.