TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

Who will win Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce?

Volume:
$1,026,581

Nongshim RedForce

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nongshim RedForce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$239,602
N/A
N/A
$154,997
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nongshim RedForce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Vitality

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150,083
N/A
N/A
$99,407
Settled
No
limitless

Team Vitality

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
25¢
N/A
$441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 56

Intro

This market tracks the total number of rounds played in Map 2 of the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 matchup between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce during the Esports World Cup Playoffs. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, the consensus probability for Over 18.5 rounds stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official match data from vlr.gg. Watch for the match scheduled on July 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT to settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Nongshim RedForce wins OR Team Vitality wins) are stated to resolve to YES. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket and Limitless markets use standard binary logic (one team wins = YES, other team wins = NO/alternative outcome).Hero tip: Kalshi market is unresolvable as written and requires immediate platform correction. For all other platforms, await official match result from vlr.gg. If vlr.gg does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting and video evidence becomes authoritative. Ensure match is actually played (not canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning) before resolving any market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If Nongshim RedForce wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Vitality wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution. CRITICAL DEFECT: Market cannot be resolved.
  • Polymarket: Match winner market resolves to Team Vitality if Team Vitality wins, or Nongshim RedForce if Nongshim RedForce wins. Clear binary logic. Source: vlr.gg with 2-hour publication window; credible reporting and video evidence as fallback. Forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers before match start resolve to 50-50.
  • Limitless: Team Vitality market resolves YES if Team Vitality wins; Nongshim RedForce market resolves YES if Nongshim RedForce wins. Forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers resolve to the declared winner. Deadline: August 10, 2026 23:59 UTC; unresolved by then = Other.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Nongshim RedForce. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Nongshim RedForce vs. Team Vitality Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Team Vitality and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader bids and asks, creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. Traditional sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for liability. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more granular information because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately and can trade continuously. For esports events like this one, prediction markets may react faster to roster changes, scrim results, or team momentum than sportsbooks, which update less frequently.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates distinct order books, fee structures, and user demographics, creating natural price variance. Polymarket may attract different trader profiles or liquidity patterns than Kalshi, causing temporary spreads on the same outcome. Regulatory frameworks, settlement rules, and platform-specific incentives also influence how traders value this market. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms typically narrow over time as sophisticated traders exploit gaps, but differences often persist due to friction costs and platform-specific risk preferences.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, recent scrim performance, and injury or availability updates for either team. Tournament bracket positioning and seeding strength can shift trader sentiment on match difficulty. Pre-match media coverage, expert predictions, and community sentiment on social platforms often drive intraday volatility. Patch changes to Valorant itself may favor one team's playstyle, prompting repricing. As match day nears, any official statements about player status or team preparation typically trigger sharp moves in this market.