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Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp?

Volume:
$248,442

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$122,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Vitality

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,616
N/A
N/A
$3,396
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karmine Corp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,718
N/A
N/A
$4,271
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp at the Esports World Cup Group B, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals across all three maps, round handicaps, and series length, with resolution sourced from vlr.gg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Polymarket and Kalshi markets apply identical completion requirements, source hierarchy, and 50-50 tie-breaker logic for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, and incomplete maps.Primary resolution logic: vlr.gg (official Valorant esports database); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if vlr.gg unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team winning 2 maps in the BO3 series.
  • Individual map winners resolve based on which team wins the map (13+ rounds first, or by overtime rules).
  • Map round totals (Over/Under thresholds at 19.5, 20.5, 21.5, 22.5) resolve on combined rounds played by both teams on that map, including overtime.
  • Round handicaps (Team Vitality -2.5/-3.5 vs Karmine Corp +2.5/+3.5) resolve based on round differential: Vitality wins if margin >= threshold, otherwise Karmine Corp wins.
  • Map handicap (VIT -1.5 vs KC +1.5) resolves to Vitality if they win 2+ more maps than Karmine Corp; otherwise Karmine Corp.
  • Games Total (O/U 2.5) resolves Over if 3 maps played, Under if fewer than 3.
  • Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward totals if match is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Map: If any map is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default rather than rounds played, that map's round-based markets (totals, handicaps, winner) resolve 50-50. Match-level markets (series winner, map handicap, games total) also resolve 50-50 if match is not completed.
  • Match Cancellation or Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 2, 2026) without play beginning or without a map being completed, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Exact Threshold (e.g., 19.5, 20.5 rounds): If combined round total equals the threshold exactly (e.g., 19.5), the market resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi Map 2 Binary (Kalshi Markets 1-2): Kalshi's binary 'If Team Vitality wins map 2... then Yes' and 'If Karmine Corp wins map 2... then Yes' is logically inconsistent as written (both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes). Interpret as: Kalshi resolves Yes if either team wins Map 2 (i.e., Map 2 is played to completion), and No if Map 2 is not completed or is forfeited. This aligns with Polymarket's Map 2 Winner market.
  • Source Timing (2-hour window): If vlr.gg does not publish final results within 2 hours after event conclusion, credible reporting (news, official tournament announcements, video evidence) may be used to resolve markets.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps played or series decided by forfeit/disqualification). If vlr.gg publishes within 2 hours, resolution is immediate; otherwise, resolution waits for credible secondary source. Markets resolve 50-50 if match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 2 in the Esports World Cup 2026: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitality Valorant match scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT. The market resolves based on which team successfully wins the map.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading mechanics where users directly set prices, whereas traditional sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and margin-based pricing. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more efficient pricing because traders face direct financial incentives to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter liquidity and faster settlement. For this market, comparing implied probabilities across platforms and against major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus diverges and which venue prices the matchup most efficiently.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket's broader user base and higher volume typically drive tighter spreads, while Kalshi's regulatory framework and contract design may appeal to different risk profiles. Additionally, the two platforms may list slightly different outcome formulations—for instance, one focusing on match winner versus another on individual map outcomes—creating natural pricing variation. Arbitrage opportunities between venues often close quickly as sophisticated traders exploit gaps.

Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament results, and head-to-head scrim outcomes. Map pool announcements and bans can shift strategic matchups significantly in Valorant. Team form leading into the Esports World Cup, coaching staff updates, and public statements from players or analysts also influence trader positioning. Odds typically tighten as match day approaches and uncertainty decreases. Any major esports news or unexpected roster moves could trigger sharp repricing across both platforms.