TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Heretics and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for April 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Team Heretics. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides detailed edge-case logic for forfeits, incomplete matches, and delays, while Kalshi offers only binary Yes/No outcomes without explicit handling of non-standard match conclusions or cancellations.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, focus on the 7-day delay threshold and the distinction between clinching-map forfeits (count as completed) and mid-series forfeits (resolve 50-50). On Kalshi, assume any non-standard completion (forfeit, cancellation, delay beyond 7 days) will resolve to a tie or default, creating potential divergence from Polymarket. Monitor vlr.gg closely for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion on both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Defines comprehensive resolution logic across five markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner, Map Handicap, Games Total). Explicitly handles forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, incomplete matches, and 7-day delay threshold. Clinching-map forfeits count as completed matches; mid-series forfeits resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.'
- Kalshi: Provides only a single binary market (Team Heretics wins OR FUT Esports wins). No explicit resolution rules for cancellations, ties, delays, forfeits, or incomplete matches. Assumes one team will win; edge cases are not addressed. Key Quote: 'If Team Heretics wins the VCT EMEA 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
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