TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

Who will win Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses?

Volume:
$737,629

Evil Geniuses

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Evil Geniuses

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,954
N/A
N/A
$95,580
Settled
Yes
limitless

Evil Geniuses

View
N/A
N/A
99.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
$2,945
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Envy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$221,798
N/A
N/A
$154,497
Settled
No
limitless

Team Envy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.6¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks the round differential on the first map of a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Aggregated across Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, the consensus probability stands at 100.0% for Evil Geniuses to win Map 1 by more than 2.5 rounds. Resolution will be determined by vlr.gg official match records. Watch for the match scheduled on July 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET to see how the opening map unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible match outcomes (Evil Geniuses wins OR Team Envy wins) are mapped to Yes resolution, making a No resolution impossible. Additionally, Polymarket and Limitless diverge on forfeit/disqualification/walkover handling for the match winner market.Hero tip: The Kalshi market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. For Polymarket vs Limitless: Polymarket treats forfeits as 50-50 (no winner declared), while Limitless declares the opponent as winner. Choose your platform based on whether you believe forfeits should void the market or award the win.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: Resolution states 'If Evil Geniuses wins... resolve to Yes' AND 'If Team Envy wins... resolve to Yes'. No condition maps to No. This is a tautological contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Evil Geniuses wins the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Envy wins the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to the winning team if match completes normally. If match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed >7 days without play, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover, market resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.' Individual map markets require completion by rounds played, not forfeit.
  • Limitless: Match winner resolves YES if named team wins. If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, market resolves to the declared winner (not 50-50). Timeout: if no official result by August 17, 2026 23:59 UTC, resolves to Other. Quote: 'If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win the match against Evil Geniuses. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against Team Envy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Each market resolves Yes if the corresponding team wins the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026 Evil Geniuses vs. Team Envy Valorant match scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Resolution is based on the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Team Envy and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026, scheduled for Jul 17, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

The Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses match aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes tied to this Valorant clash. Traders on both venues price different aspects of the matchup—from map results to overall victory—creating a cross-platform view of consensus expectations. This dashboard consolidates those signals so you can compare how each platform's community assesses the teams' chances and spot divergences in pricing that may reflect different trader compositions or information timing.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks use different mechanisms to set odds. Sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and adjust lines to balance action; prediction markets rely on continuous trading by many participants, which can surface crowd-sourced probability estimates. Prediction market prices often reflect longer-term sentiment and can move more fluidly in response to breaking news or team roster changes. Comparing the two can reveal whether mainstream betting markets and decentralized traders agree on this matchup, or whether one venue perceives an edge the other has missed.

Team roster announcements, player substitutions, or injury reports can shift odds significantly before the match begins. In-game momentum—early map wins or tactical adjustments—will drive sharp price moves during play. Broader VCT Americas Stage 2 results and standings may also influence trader sentiment about each team's form and confidence. Real-time chat and social media reactions from the esports community often precede or amplify market moves. Monitor official team announcements and tournament updates for any last-minute changes that could alter expectations.