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Valorant: sleepers vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: sleepers vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage

Volume:
$26,934

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 12:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

sleepers (FlyQuest)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,742
N/A
N/A
$3,444
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SLP (-1.5) vs Division One (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Division One

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,048
N/A
N/A
$2,535
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between sleepers and Division One in the VCL North America Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicap, and total games played across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: it states both Division One winning and sleepers winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero tip: Disregard Kalshi's match-winner market. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which feature unified, logically coherent resolution logic across match winner, map winners, handicap, and games total. All Polymarket markets use VLR.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus reporting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market states: If Division One wins, resolve Yes. If sleepers wins, resolve Yes. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable. No clear mechanism to distinguish outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Match-winner market: Resolves to sleepers if sleepers win the match; resolves to Division One if Division One win the match. Clear binary outcome. Cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay without play = 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover at match start = 50-50. Forfeit during play = resolves to winning team. Source: VLR.gg within 2 hours, else credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.