TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between sleepers and Division One in the VCL North America Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicap, and total games played across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: it states both Division One winning and sleepers winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's match-winner market. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which feature unified, logically coherent resolution logic across match winner, map winners, handicap, and games total. All Polymarket markets use VLR.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus reporting.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match-winner market states: If Division One wins, resolve Yes. If sleepers wins, resolve Yes. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable. No clear mechanism to distinguish outcomes.Polymarket:
Match-winner market: Resolves to sleepers if sleepers win the match; resolves to Division One if Division One win the match. Clear binary outcome. Cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay without play = 50-50. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover at match start = 50-50. Forfeit during play = resolves to winning team. Source: VLR.gg within 2 hours, else credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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