TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Shopify Rebellion Black and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Black" if Shopify Rebellion Black win the match against QoR. This market will resolve to "QoR" if QoR win the match against Shopify Rebellion Black. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Shopify Rebellion Black and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Black" if Shopify Rebellion Black win the match against QoR. This market will resolve to "QoR" if QoR win the match against Shopify Rebellion Black. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Esports markets can be especially fluid; prediction markets may react faster to roster changes, scrim results, or community sentiment than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where sharp traders see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects expectations around map-level handicaps, with the market pricing in relative team strength and recent performance. As the match approaches and new intel surfaces—practice results, player availability, or meta shifts—prices update continuously. Each outcome's price represents the collective belief of active traders about that result's likelihood.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the match concludes and results are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual series result and individual map performances, confirmed through official VCL records and broadcast data. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final map's completion. Traders should monitor official league announcements and verified esports news outlets to track any delays or disputes.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent scrim performance leaks, and meta shifts in the competitive Valorant patch. Community sentiment and betting action on other platforms can signal sharp money movement. Playoff seeding implications and team motivation levels matter significantly—a team fighting for survival may play differently than one already advancing. Pre-match interviews, coach statements, and historical head-to-head records often trigger repricing as traders reassess win probabilities.