TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage

Volume:
$58,415

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 7, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 1:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shopify Rebellion

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
$1,016
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs QoR (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

QoR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$381
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Valorant match between Shopify Rebellion Black and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage, originally scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets track the overall match outcome, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap performance across a best-of-three series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's Map 1 market resolves YES for either team winning Map 1 (logically impossible), while Polymarket's markets correctly distinguish between team-specific outcomes and match-level resolution. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction on Kalshi that makes that market unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi Map 1 market — its resolution criteria state YES for both possible outcomes (QoR wins OR Shopify Rebellion wins), which is logically incoherent. Trade the Polymarket Map 1 Winner market instead, which correctly resolves to one team or 50-50. For match winner and map totals, both platforms align on standard BO3 logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's Map 1 market contains a logical contradiction — it states 'If QoR wins map 1... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Shopify Rebellion wins map 1... resolves to Yes', meaning both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution. This makes the market unresolvable. Kalshi's other markets (match winner, map totals, handicap) are not provided in the source data, so alignment cannot be assessed for those.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard BO3 logic: Polymarket provides five coherent markets — Map 1 Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Map 2 Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Match Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer), and Map Handicap (Shopify Rebellion Black if +2 map advantage, otherwise QoR). All use vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting, and all apply 50-50 resolution for cancellation, no-play beyond 7 days, or incomplete matches without a winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.