TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
Volume:
$58,415
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant match between Shopify Rebellion Black and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage, originally scheduled for April 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets track the overall match outcome, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap performance across a best-of-three series.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's Map 1 market resolves YES for either team winning Map 1 (logically impossible), while Polymarket's markets correctly distinguish between team-specific outcomes and match-level resolution. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction on Kalshi that makes that market unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi Map 1 market — its resolution criteria state YES for both possible outcomes (QoR wins OR Shopify Rebellion wins), which is logically incoherent. Trade the Polymarket Map 1 Winner market instead, which correctly resolves to one team or 50-50. For match winner and map totals, both platforms align on standard BO3 logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's Map 1 market contains a logical contradiction — it states 'If QoR wins map 1... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Shopify Rebellion wins map 1... resolves to Yes', meaning both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution. This makes the market unresolvable. Kalshi's other markets (match winner, map totals, handicap) are not provided in the source data, so alignment cannot be assessed for those.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard BO3 logic: Polymarket provides five coherent markets — Map 1 Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Map 2 Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Match Winner (resolves to QoR or Shopify Rebellion Black), Games Total O/U 2.5 (Over if 3+ maps, Under if fewer), and Map Handicap (Shopify Rebellion Black if +2 map advantage, otherwise QoR). All use vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting, and all apply 50-50 resolution for cancellation, no-play beyond 7 days, or incomplete matches without a winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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