TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between Shopify Rebellion Black and Evil Geniuses Academy in the VCL North America Playoffs, scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the match winner, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total games played.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical tautology (Yes if either team wins), making it non-falsifiable. Polymarket markets are well-defined but rely on external source updates (Liquipedia/VLR.gg) that may be delayed.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's match winner market—it resolves Yes in all plausible outcomes. For Polymarket markets, monitor Liquipedia and VLR.gg for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion. If sources conflict, Polymarket allows consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match winner resolves to the team that wins the BO3 series. Individual map markets resolve based on completed maps. Handicap markets count forfeited maps if match completes. Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or incomplete matches due to forfeiture resolve to 50-50. Source: Liquipedia or VLR.gg (with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence).Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes if Shopify Rebellion wins OR if Evil Geniuses Academy wins. This is a logical tautology—both possible match outcomes trigger Yes resolution. No explicit cancellation or delay clause provided. Source: Implicit (not specified).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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