TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win SaD Esports vs NRG Academy?

Volume:
$143,031

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SaD Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,236
N/A
N/A
$25,781
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-2.5) vs NRG Academy (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-2.5) vs NRG Academy (+2.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

NRG Academy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,005
N/A
N/A
$30,714
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-2.5) vs NRG Academy (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SaD (-1.5) vs NRG Academy (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between SaD Esports and NRG Academy in the VCL North America Stage 3 Playoffs, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals, handicaps, and games-to-3 outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Polymarket markets and the Kalshi binary match-winner market apply identical resolution logic: official vlr.gg data, 2-hour fallback window, 7-day cancellation threshold, and 50-50 resolution for forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers or incomplete play.Primary resolution logic: Official VCL North America Stage 3 Playoffs results published on vlr.gg; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if vlr.gg does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (SaD Esports vs NRG Academy) resolves to the team that wins the best-of-3 series by winning 2 maps first.
  • Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2, Map 3) resolve to the team that wins that specific map by reaching the required round threshold (13 rounds to win, including overtime).
  • Map total rounds (Over/Under 21.5) resolve based on combined round count on that map; exactly 21.5 resolves 50-50.
  • Map rounds handicap (SaD -2.5 vs NRG +2.5) resolves to SaD if SaD wins the map by 3+ rounds; otherwise to NRG.
  • Games total (Over/Under 2.5) resolves Over if 3 maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played.
  • Map handicap (SaD -1.5 vs NRG +1.5) resolves to SaD if SaD wins 2+ more maps than NRG; otherwise to NRG.
  • If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or ends in a tie, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • If match begins but is incomplete and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, match-winner resolves to the winning team; map-specific markets resolve 50-50 unless that map was completed.
  • If the clinching map is forfeited, the match counts as completed for series-level markets; map-specific markets for that map resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete match with forfeit: If match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, the match-winner market resolves to the winning team. However, map-specific markets (map winner, map rounds, map handicap) for any unplayed or incomplete map resolve 50-50.
  • Clinching map forfeited: If the map that clinches the series is forfeited by the losing team, the series counts as completed and the match-winner resolves to the clinching team. The forfeited map's specific markets (map winner, rounds, handicap) resolve 50-50.
  • Exact round threshold (21.5): If a map total rounds market lands on exactly 21.5 rounds, the market resolves 50-50.
  • 7-day delay without completion: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (July 3, 2026) without a winner being determined or any map being completed, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • vlr.gg publication delay: If vlr.gg does not publish final results within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution falls back to consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps played to conclusion or series clinched). If match is not completed by 7 days after scheduled date (July 10, 2026), all markets resolve 50-50. vlr.gg is checked for publication within 2 hours of match end; if unavailable, credible reporting and video evidence are used as secondary source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between SaD Esports and NRG Academy in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against NRG Academy. This market will resolve to "NRG Academy" if NRG Academy win the match against SaD Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The VCL North America: Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between NRG Academy and SaD Esports, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, will be decided by standard competitive play. Resolution is determined by the official match outcome: if NRG Academy wins, their associated market resolves to Yes; if SaD Esports wins, their associated market resolves to Yes. The match result is based on the team that achieves victory according to VCL North America competition rules and official scoring.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets reflect live trader consensus and can move more sharply on breaking news or analysis. For this market, prediction odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because traders on each platform have different risk appetites, information sets, and fee structures. Comparing both sources often reveals arbitrage opportunities or consensus strength.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee schedules, and liquidity pools. Polymarket's outcome on map-round totals may reflect a subset of traders focused on granular in-game metrics, while Kalshi's match-winner contract draws a broader audience. Timing lags in price discovery, varying leverage or margin rules, and platform-specific incentives can all widen spreads. Monitoring both helps you identify temporary mispricings before they converge.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or recent scrim results can shift odds significantly before the match. In-game momentum during the first map often triggers sharp repricing on round-total and map-winner contracts. Public statements from coaches, analyst predictions, or betting syndicates entering the market may also trigger volatility. Monitor Valorant esports news and team social media for announcements that could alter trader sentiment on this market.