TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 1:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between QoR and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "QoR" if QoR win the match against YFT Esports. This market will resolve to "YFT Esports" if YFT Esports win the match against QoR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between QoR and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "QoR" if QoR win the match against YFT Esports. This market will resolve to "YFT Esports" if YFT Esports win the match against QoR. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information faster and can offer sharper odds on niche events like esports playoffs, where traditional sportsbooks may have limited liquidity or coverage. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a tradable share, and the combined probability of all shares always equals 100 percent. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability shifts accordingly. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest consensus among active traders and remains responsive to breaking news or roster changes affecting either team.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on which team wins the best-of-three series in the VCL North America Stage 3 Playoffs. Resolution hinges on the official match result as reported by Valorant esports authorities and major esports news outlets. Traders should monitor official league announcements and team communications in the days leading up to the event to stay informed of any schedule changes or roster updates.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries, or unexpected substitutions announced by either team prior to the match. Recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and scrim results often influence trader sentiment. Patch updates to Valorant itself can shift the meta and favor certain playstyles, affecting perceived team strength. Media coverage, expert analysis, and community sentiment on social platforms can also drive trading activity. Any official statement from team management regarding preparation or confidence levels may trigger sharp price movements as new information reaches the market.