TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals, and round handicaps across all three potential maps, plus a series games total over/under.
This market refers to the Valorant match between Pcific Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports" if Pcific Esports win the match against Gentle Mates. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against Pcific Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution depends on the outcome of the full VCT EMEA 2026 Valorant match scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader participation and real-money stakes. This market reflects aggregated trader beliefs rather than a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line. Prediction market odds often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks update their lines, especially for niche esports matchups. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from traditional oddsmaking, though both should be evaluated independently for accuracy and edge.
Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift odds significantly before the match begins. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and map pool strength assessments influence trader positioning. Scrim results or public statements from team management may spark repricing across both platforms. As the match date approaches, reduced uncertainty typically narrows the spread. During the series itself, live map results will drive sharp intraday moves, particularly if one team takes an unexpected lead or if individual map outcomes diverge from pre-match expectations.