TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 12, 2026
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)
Intro
This market tracks the round differential on Map 2 of a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Paper Rex and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London 2026 Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal. Across Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Paper Rex to win Map 2 by more than 3.5 rounds stands at 2.5%. Resolution will be determined by official vlr.gg results, or credible consensus reporting with video evidence if vlr.gg does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled June 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET to settle this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless) apply consistent match completion requirements, source hierarchy (vlr.gg primary, credible consensus secondary), and edge-case handling for forfeits, disqualifications, and delays.Primary resolution logic: Official vlr.gg results; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting including video evidence.Core resolution logic:
- Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-3 series; if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without completion, resolves to 50-50.
- If match begins but is not completed and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover after play starts, that team is declared winner.
- If match ends due to forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins, or if match is not completed, most markets resolve to 50-50.
- Map winner markets resolve only if that map is played to completion; incomplete maps or maps decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover resolve to 50-50.
- Round total markets (Over/Under thresholds) resolve only if the specified map is completed; exact threshold matches resolve to 50-50.
- Round handicap markets resolve only if the specified map is completed; incomplete maps or maps decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover resolve to 50-50.
- Games total (O/U 2.5) resolves to Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played; forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers count if match is completed.
- Team name discrepancies (abbreviations, sponsor tags, minor spelling variations) resolve based on the underlying real-world team, not exact name matching.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Forfeit/Disqualification Before Match Start: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks away before the match begins, most markets (match winner, map winners, round markets) resolve to 50-50. Exception: Kalshi and Limitless state the declared winner is the resolution outcome.
- Forfeit/Disqualification After Match Begins: If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, the winning team is declared winner for match-level markets. Map-specific markets resolve to 50-50 if that map is not completed.
- Clinching Map Forfeited: If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited, this counts as a completed match and resolves to the team declared winner.
- Exact Threshold Match (e.g., 21.5 Rounds): If the combined round total on a map is exactly equal to the threshold (e.g., exactly 21.5), the market resolves to 50-50.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days Without Completion: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (June 12, 2026) without a winner determined or map completion, markets resolve to 50-50.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Paper Rex and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 12 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against Leviatán Esports. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against Paper Rex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If Leviatán Esports wins the VCT Masters London 2026: Leviatán Esports vs. Paper Rex Valorant match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paper Rex wins the VCT Masters London 2026: Leviatán Esports vs. Paper Rex Valorant match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Paper Rex and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Masters London 2026, scheduled for Jun 12, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more liquid pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate dispersed trader knowledge in real time. Sportsbooks set fixed odds and manage liability; prediction markets allow continuous repricing as new information emerges. For this Paper Rex versus Leviatán match, prediction market odds may move faster in response to roster updates, scrim results, or recent tournament performance. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads due to higher volume. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify value and understand how different market structures price esports outcomes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different regulatory frameworks, user bases, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket may attract larger volumes of casual traders, while Kalshi draws institutional participants. Order-book depth, fee structures, and market-maker participation vary between platforms, causing temporary price divergences. Additionally, each platform's specific outcome wording—whether focused on Paper Rex victory or match result format—can influence how traders interpret and price the event. These differences typically narrow as the match approaches, but arbitrage opportunities may exist during low-liquidity periods.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and head-to-head records between the teams, roster changes or player substitutions, scrim performance leaks, and injury or availability announcements. Meta shifts in agent selection or map pool updates can favor one team's playstyle. Pre-match interviews and coach statements may signal confidence or strategic adjustments. Live match events—early map wins, momentum swings, or standout individual performances—will drive real-time repricing on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Betting volume spikes often precede the match start, reflecting final positioning by informed traders.
