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406,422

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30,383

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win NRG vs MIBR?

Volume:
$1,277,411

NRG

 - Kalshi

NRG - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

NRG

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$416,347
N/A
N/A
$214,936
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$298,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$164,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs MIBR (+4.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs MIBR (+5.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs MIBR (+7.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs MIBR (+8.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 58

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a best-of-three Valorant match between NRG and MIBR in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, including individual map results, round totals, and series outcomes. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by vlr.gg official match records. Watch for the match scheduled on July 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, which will settle all related round handicap and map-level markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies detailed map-level and round-level resolution with explicit source (vlr.gg + 2-hour consensus fallback) and comprehensive edge-case handling. Kalshi provides only a binary match outcome with no source specification, edge-case rules, or fallback mechanism.Hero tip: Polymarket markets require vlr.gg to publish results within 2 hours post-match; if it does not, consensus of credible reporting (including video) applies. Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not clarify how forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or incomplete series are handled. Before trading, confirm vlr.gg's operational status and expected publication timeline. If the match is canceled or abandoned, Polymarket markets will resolve 50-50 by rule; Kalshi's resolution is undefined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers 15 distinct markets covering Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map 1/2/3 round totals (O/U 20.5, 21.5, 22.5), round handicaps (NRG -2.5 vs MIBR +2.5 per map), Games Total (O/U 2.5), and Map Handicap (NRG -1.5 vs MIBR +1.5). Primary source is vlr.gg; if results not published within 2 hours post-conclusion, consensus of credible reporting (including video evidence) is used. Explicit handling: incomplete maps resolve 50-50, forfeits/walkovers/defaults count if match is completed, cancellation or 7-day delay without play begins resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If MIBR wins the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026: MIBR vs. NRG Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If NRG wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No source specified, no edge-case rules for forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or incomplete series. No fallback mechanism or timing window defined. Key Quote: 'If MIBR wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If NRG wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 18 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the full VCT Americas Stage 2 2026 Valorant match between MIBR and NRG scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Resolution depends on match completion and official results. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the corresponding team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

The NRG vs MIBR VCT match dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds on multiple outcomes tied to this best-of-three Valorant matchup. Traders can monitor consensus pricing on map results, round totals, and head-to-head victory odds as the event approaches. The dashboard displays current market probabilities alongside 24-hour volume trends, giving you a snapshot of how prediction market participants collectively assess each outcome. This cross-platform view reveals where agreement exists and where divergence emerges between venues.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and manage risk through margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow, often reflecting real-time sentiment shifts more dynamically. Prediction market odds can move faster in response to breaking news or roster changes, while sportsbooks may adjust more conservatively to protect their book. Both venues ultimately reflect expected probability, but prediction markets tend to reward early information discovery, whereas sportsbooks emphasize consistent margins across matched sides.

Roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements for either team can trigger sharp repricing across this market. Recent tournament results, map veto patterns, and head-to-head records between NRG and MIBR inform trader conviction and shift odds meaningfully. Scrim results or practice footage leaks sometimes influence early movers before official matches. Patch updates to Valorant itself can alter agent viability and map dynamics, prompting recalibration. Monitor team social media, esports news outlets, and VCT official channels for any developments that might shift competitive balance or confidence in either side.