TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: NRG Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: NRG Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage

Volume:
$79,957

NRG Academy

 - Kalshi

NRG Academy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 25, 2026

Closed: Mar 24, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

NRG Academy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,228
N/A
N/A
$16,018
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alliance Guardians

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,507
N/A
N/A
$19,624
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NRG.A (-1.5) vs Alliance Guardians (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between NRG Academy and Alliance Guardians in the VCL North America Stage 2 Swiss Stage, originally scheduled for March 24, 2026. The market captures the binary result of this competitive esports fixture, with resolution tied to the official match winner as determined by the league.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable, as both outcomes (NRG Academy wins OR Alliance Guardians wins) resolve to Yes. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria for the match winner and multiple derivative markets with consistent edge-case handling.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's match-winner market due to logical contradiction—both possible outcomes resolve identically to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and offer clear winner determination, map-specific outcomes, and series-length betting with well-defined tie/cancellation rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in its resolution rules. The market states 'If NRG Academy wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alliance Guardians wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' making both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically. This renders the market unresolvable and creates ambiguity about the intended winner determination.
  • Polymarket: Provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic: 'This market will resolve to NRG Academy if NRG Academy win the match' and 'This market will resolve to Alliance Guardians if Alliance Guardians win the match.' Polymarket also offers four derivative markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and Map Handicap) with consistent, well-defined edge-case handling for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, and incomplete matches. All markets use vlr.gg as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.