TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
Volume:
$79,957
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between NRG Academy and Alliance Guardians in the VCL North America Stage 2 Swiss Stage, originally scheduled for March 24, 2026. The market captures the binary result of this competitive esports fixture, with resolution tied to the official match winner as determined by the league.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable, as both outcomes (NRG Academy wins OR Alliance Guardians wins) resolve to Yes. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria for the match winner and multiple derivative markets with consistent edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's match-winner market due to logical contradiction—both possible outcomes resolve identically to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are resolvable and offer clear winner determination, map-specific outcomes, and series-length betting with well-defined tie/cancellation rules.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in its resolution rules. The market states 'If NRG Academy wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Alliance Guardians wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' making both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically. This renders the market unresolvable and creates ambiguity about the intended winner determination.
- Polymarket: Provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic: 'This market will resolve to NRG Academy if NRG Academy win the match' and 'This market will resolve to Alliance Guardians if Alliance Guardians win the match.' Polymarket also offers four derivative markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and Map Handicap) with consistent, well-defined edge-case handling for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, and incomplete matches. All markets use vlr.gg as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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