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Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix?

Volume:
$15,282

Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 7:09 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
96¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-3.5) vs Nova Esports (+3.5)

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$76,170
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,553
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-4.5) vs Nova Esports (+4.5)

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-4.5) vs Nova Esports (+4.5)

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-4.5) vs Nova Esports (+4.5)

View
50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-3.5) vs Nova Esports (+3.5)

View
50%
48%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This prediction market group concerns a Valorant match between Nova Esports and FunPlus Phoenix in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual map winners, total games played, and round handicaps/totals for specific maps. Resolution relies on official results from vlr.gg, with a fallback to credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Minor differences in market descriptions and tie-breaking details across platforms, but core resolution logic remains consistent.Hero tip: Prioritize vlr.gg as the primary resolution source. Be aware of the 14-day postponement window and the 2-hour grace period for vlr.gg results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Detailed resolution criteria, including a 14-day postponement window, a 2-hour grace period for vlr.gg results, and a fallback to consensus reporting with video evidence. Addresses minor discrepancies in team names.
  • Predict/Kalshi: Similar resolution criteria, but with less detail regarding tie-breaking and source verification. Kalshi's 'Games Total' market is simplified to a 'Yes/No' outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between Nova Esports and FunPlus Phoenix in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against FunPlus Phoenix. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Nova Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 3 match between Nova Esports and FunPlus Phoenix in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against FunPlus Phoenix. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Valorant China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs match between Nova Esports and FunPlus Phoenix. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $15,282, with $13,106 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the collective wisdom of the crowd is pricing the probability of different results in the best-of-three series. The Polymarket and Predict data are combined to give a comprehensive view of the market for the Valorant China Evolution Series.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast of event outcomes than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like house bias and public perception. Sportsbooks also often limit the amount a user can bet, whereas prediction markets can allow for larger positions. However, sportsbooks may offer more accessible markets for casual bettors, while this market requires a cryptocurrency wallet and some familiarity with decentralized platforms. Both offer ways to express a view on the Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix match.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Additionally, the types of markets offered and the specific question wording can lead to different interpretations and trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-4.5) vs Nova Esports (+4.5) at 96%, while Predict leans toward Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs. These differences highlight the independent price discovery process on each platform.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for Nova Esports or FunPlus Phoenix would likely cause price movement. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the series itself, such as a dominant early victory by one team, will undoubtedly shift probabilities. Monitoring social media and esports news sources for updates on these factors is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.