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Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming?

Volume:
$45,330

Nova Esports

 - Kalshi

Nova Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nova Esports

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,394
N/A
N/A
$13,790
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
78%
Yes 78¢No 22¢
—
$7,645
$1,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
90¢
$2,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
$6,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$9
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

EDward Gaming

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,437
N/A
N/A
$7,124
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$70,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This prediction group covers the Valorant match between Nova Esports and EDward Gaming in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs. Markets exist for the overall match winner, individual map winners, total games played, map handicaps, and total rounds played on specific maps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Slight differences in handling incomplete matches and forfeits across platforms, particularly for map-specific markets.Hero tip: Focus on the overall match winner market for the most consistent resolution criteria. Be aware of the 50-50 resolution risk on Polymarket's map markets if a map is incomplete or canceled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Map markets resolve to 50-50 if incomplete or canceled. Forfeits/disqualifications on Map 1/2 resolve to 50-50. Resolution source is vlr.gg with a 2-hour grace period.
  • Predict: Overall match market resolves with similar rules for cancellations/postponements/forfeits. Uses vlr.gg as the primary source. Map markets have similar rules, but the specific wording regarding incomplete maps might differ.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Nova Esports and EDward Gaming in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the EDward Gaming vs. Nova Esports Valorant match from the China Evolution Series Act 3 2026, scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If EDward Gaming wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Nova Esports’ market resolves to No, and vice versa. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Nova Esports and EDward Gaming in the China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Nova Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate opinions from many individuals with skin in the game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert predictions. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and historical performance, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information or unexpected developments, creating a dynamic comparison. The current volume of $45,330 suggests considerable interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market structures offered on each platform – the available outcomes and contract specifications – can lead to differing perceptions of value. For example, one platform might focus on the overall match winner, while the other offers more granular markets, like map-specific outcomes. These differences in market design and participant behavior contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.