TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
polymarket
kalshi
limitless

Who will win Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports?

Volume:
$359,978

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$126,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nightblood Gaming

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105,921
N/A
N/A
$48,847
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nightblood Gaming

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

YFT Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90,006
N/A
N/A
$51,093
Settled
No
limitless

YFT Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: YFT (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America Stage 3 Playoffs, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round handicaps, round totals, and series length across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless) apply consistent logic: official match completion via actual rounds, 2-hour vlr.gg publication window, 7-day delay threshold, and 50-50 resolution for forfeit/walkover/cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: vlr.gg official match results; credible reporting consensus (including video evidence) if vlr.gg unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team declared winner by vlr.gg if match is completed with a decisive result (not forfeit/walkover/tie)
  • Individual map winner markets resolve based on the team that wins that specific map, provided the map is played to completion
  • Round handicap markets (e.g., -2.5/-2.5) resolve based on the round differential on that map; Nightblood Gaming wins if they exceed opponent by 3+ rounds, otherwise YFT Esports wins
  • Round total markets (Over/Under 21.5) resolve Over if combined rounds exceed 21.5, Under if less than 21.5; exactly 21.5 resolves 50-50
  • Series length market (Games Total O/U 2.5) resolves Over if 3 maps played, Under if fewer than 3 maps
  • Map handicap market (-1.5/+1.5) resolves to Nightblood Gaming if they win 2+ more maps than YFT Esports, otherwise YFT Esports
  • All map-specific markets require that map to be played to completion by actual rounds; forfeit/disqualification/walkover on a map causes that map's markets to resolve 50-50
  • Match cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without completion triggers 50-50 resolution for match winner and series markets
  • If match begins but is incomplete and one team wins by opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, match winner resolves to winning team; series markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Map not played to completion: If any map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played, all markets specific to that map (map winner, round handicap, round total) resolve 50-50
  • Match delayed beyond 7 days: If match is delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 2, 2026) without Map 1 being completed, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Forfeit/walkover at match level: If match ends by forfeit/disqualification/walkover before completion, match winner and series markets resolve 50-50; however, if one team wins due to opponent forfeiture during play, match winner resolves to winning team
  • vlr.gg publication delay: If vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus including video evidence may be used as resolution source
  • Exact round total of 21.5: If combined rounds on any map equals exactly 21.5, that map's Over/Under market resolves 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion and official vlr.gg publication (or within 2 hours via credible consensus). Markets remain unresolved if match is canceled or delayed beyond July 9, 2026 without completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against YFT Esports. This market will resolve to "YFT Esports" if YFT Esports win the match against Nightblood Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the VCL North America: Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between YFT Esports and Nightblood Gaming scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes upon that team's victory.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 2026, scheduled for Jul 2, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds through supply and demand, which often reflects sharper, less-padded lines than retail sportsbooks. This market's odds may diverge from conventional esports betting sites because prediction markets aggregate information from a global, incentivized participant base with real capital at stake. Sportsbooks typically build in larger margins and may move slower to new information, whereas this market reprices continuously as new data emerges.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics and liquidity pools. Polymarket's map handicap contract appeals to players seeking granular, round-level precision, while Kalshi's binary match-winner format suits those preferring simpler exposure. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and regulatory positioning also influence pricing speed and participant confidence. Additionally, one platform may react faster to roster changes, scrim results, or team news, creating temporary arbitrage windows before prices converge.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries, or last-minute lineup changes from either team. Recent scrim results, map pool updates, or patch changes to Valorant itself can shift trader conviction. Team performance in earlier playoff rounds will directly influence expectations heading into this matchup. Media coverage, expert predictions, and community sentiment on social platforms also drive repricing. Any statement from team management about preparation or confidence could trigger sharp moves in either direction.