TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Round 5 match between Nightblood Gaming and SaD Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against SaD Esports. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against Nightblood Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Valorant Round 5 match between Nightblood Gaming and SaD Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against SaD Esports. This market will resolve to "SaD Esports" if SaD Esports win the match against Nightblood Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than major sportsbooks depending on liquidity and the confidence of participants. Comparing this market's implied probability to consensus from established sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are pricing in information or sentiment that bookmakers have yet to fully reflect.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with volume of $47,094 indicating the total capital committed across all positions. As traders buy or sell shares, the price moves to balance supply and demand, creating a dynamic market that responds to new information, team updates, or player roster changes leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result in the best-of-three series between the two teams. Your position will settle based on which team wins the majority of maps in the BO3 format, with no ambiguity once the final score is confirmed by the league or tournament organizers.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Roster announcements, player injuries, or lineup changes for either team may trigger repricing as traders reassess competitive balance. Recent match results, scrim outcomes, or public statements from coaches and players often influence sentiment. Meta shifts in Valorant patch updates can favor one team's playstyle over another. Media coverage, betting syndicates entering the market, or large trades by prominent predictors can also create momentum swings. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for developments that might impact this market's trajectory.