TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between Nightblood Gaming and SaD Esports in the VCL North America Stage 2 Group Stage, scheduled for April 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), map handicaps, and total games played, with resolution sourced from vlr.gg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's Map 2 Winner market contains a logical contradiction where both SaD Esports winning and Nightblood Gaming winning both resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent markets use standard binary logic without this flaw.Hero Tip:
Do not trade or settle the Kalshi Map 2 market. It is internally contradictory and cannot be resolved. Use Polymarket's Map 2 Winner market instead, which has coherent binary logic. Always cross-reference vlr.gg for official results within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Map 2 Winner market states: 'If SaD Esports wins map 2... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Nightblood Gaming wins map 2... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes in a binary market. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Map 2 Winner market resolves to 'Nightblood Gaming' if Nightblood wins Map 2, or 'SaD Esports' if SaD wins Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed, resolves 50-50. Standard binary logic with clear mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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