TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: MIR vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
Volume:
$22,024
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MIR and Formulation Gaming in the VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs, scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), games total over/under 2.5, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market is a binary tournament outcome confirmation (Yes if match is played and has a winner), while Polymarket markets are directional team/map-specific outcomes. The markets measure different settlement dimensions and cannot be directly reconciled.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as a match-completion hedge, not a directional bet. Polymarket's match winner, map winners, games total, and handicap markets are the primary directional instruments. If match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi's resolution is not specified for cancellation, creating additional ambiguity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes resolution if either MIR or Formulation Gaming wins the VCL NORTH//EAST 2026 match scheduled for March 6, 2026. Resolves Yes regardless of which team wins. No explicit cancellation or delay clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Formulation Gaming wins the VCL NORTH//EAST 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If MIR wins the VCL NORTH//EAST 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets: (1) Match Winner—resolves to team name (MIR or Formulation Gaming); (2) Map 1 Winner—resolves to team name; (3) Map 2 Winner—resolves to team name; (4) Games Total O/U 2.5—resolves Over (3+ maps) or Under (fewer than 3 maps); (5) Map Handicap MIR (-1.5)—resolves MIR if 2+ map differential, else Formulation Gaming. All resolve 50-50 if match canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or incomplete (except clinching map forfeits count as completed). Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "MIR" if MIR win the match against Formulation Gaming. This market will resolve to "Formulation Gaming" if Formulation Gaming win the match against MIR.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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