TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Melser Kindergarten vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Playoffs
Volume:
$19,111
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Melser Kindergarten and OXEN in the VCL Latin America South Playoffs, scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, map totals, individual map winners, and map handicap outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match-winner markets lack explicit forfeit/walkover handling, while Polymarket distinguishes between completed matches and pre-match withdrawals. This creates different settlement outcomes for edge cases involving team disqualification or withdrawal before play begins.Hero Tip:
Monitor vlr.gg closely for match status. If either team withdraws before the match starts, Polymarket resolves 50-50 but Kalshi may resolve Yes. If a team forfeits mid-match after play has begun, both platforms should resolve to the winning team, but confirm the exact timing and circumstances.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure: resolves Yes if either Melser Kindergarten or OXEN wins the match. No explicit handling of forfeit, disqualification, or walkover scenarios. Quote: 'If Melser Kindergarten wins the VCL Latin America South 2026: OXEN vs. Melser Kindergarten Valorant match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Detailed edge-case logic: resolves to winning team if match begins and is completed (including mid-match forfeits); resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed beyond 7 days, or if pre-match withdrawal occurs. Quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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