TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Valorant: M80 vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win M80 vs QoR?

Volume:
$102,667

M80

 - Kalshi

M80 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 6:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

M80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,573
N/A
N/A
$26,606
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs QoR (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs QoR (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

QoR

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,694
N/A
N/A
$19,236
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs QoR (+2.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs QoR (+3.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

A best-of-three (BO3) Valorant match between M80 and QoR in the VCL North America Stage 3 Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The event group contains 12 markets covering map winners, round totals, handicaps, and the overall match outcome across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Polymarket and Kalshi markets align on core resolution logic: official match outcome from vlr.gg, 50-50 for cancellations/ties/delays beyond 7 days, and completion requirements for map-specific markets.Primary resolution logic: Official vlr.gg results; credible reporting and video evidence if vlr.gg unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be played to completion with a winner determined for standard resolution; if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, or ends in a tie, resolve 50-50
  • Map-specific markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, round totals, handicaps) require those maps to be completed by normal play; forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default on a map resolves that market 50-50
  • Overall match winner and map handicap markets count maps won by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default toward the total, provided the match is completed
  • If match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover, the overall match market resolves to that team; map handicap and games total resolve 50-50
  • Round totals resolve based on combined rounds actually played on each map, including overtime; exactly 21.5 rounds resolves 50-50
  • Round handicaps (M80 -2.5 / QoR +2.5) resolve to M80 if M80 wins by 3+ rounds, otherwise QoR; map handicap (M80 -1.5 / QoR +1.5) resolves to M80 if M80 wins 2+ more maps, otherwise QoR

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete match with one team forfeiting mid-series: Overall match winner resolves to the team that won; map handicap and games total resolve 50-50; any map not completed resolves 50-50
  • Match delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning: All markets resolve 50-50
  • Map completed but match later forfeited: Completed map markets (winner, rounds, handicap) resolve based on that map's result; overall match and incomplete maps resolve per completion rules
  • Exact round total of 21.5: Round total markets (Over/Under 21.5) resolve 50-50
  • Team name discrepancy: Markets resolve based on the underlying real-world match; recognizable abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, and minor formatting differences are treated as the same team
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes with a winner determined, or after 7 days from scheduled date (July 2, 2026 4:00 PM ET) if no play begins. vlr.gg results are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting and video evidence are used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between M80 and QoR in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against QoR. This market will resolve to "QoR" if QoR win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the VCL North America: Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between QoR and M80 scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The match will be decided by standard Valorant competition rules, where teams compete across multiple rounds to achieve victory. Resolution is based on the official match result as determined by the VCL North America tournament organizers. The winner of this match will be the team that successfully defeats their opponent according to the tournament's established format and scoring criteria.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks apply fixed margins and manage liability across balanced books, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and real-time supply-demand dynamics. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than sportsbooks depending on liquidity and information flow. Prediction markets often react faster to roster changes, scrim results, or injury news because traders profit directly from accurate pricing. Comparing this market's odds to major esports sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities before lines adjust.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics and operates under distinct rule sets. Polymarket emphasizes granular outcomes like individual map winners, drawing tactical analysts, while Kalshi aggregates match-level results, appealing to broader bettors. Liquidity concentration varies by venue—one platform may see heavier action on specific outcomes, pushing prices apart. Settlement timelines and verification standards also differ slightly, causing temporary arbitrage windows. These gaps typically narrow as the event approaches and information becomes more certain.

Scrim results, player substitutions, or roster announcements can shift odds significantly before the playoff match begins. In-game performance during earlier Stage 3 matches will influence trader confidence in each team's form. Meta patches or agent nerfs released by Riot Games may favor one team's playstyle over the other. Real-time map bans and agent selections during the series itself will trigger sharp repricing on map-level markets. Social media momentum, injury updates, or coaching changes are also catalysts traders monitor closely heading into high-stakes playoff competition.