TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LYON and Chivas Esports in the VCL Latin America North Playoffs, scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's tournament-level resolution logic is logically contradictory (both outcomes resolve to Yes), while Polymarket defines a match-specific event with clear binary and derivative outcomes. The two platforms are measuring fundamentally different events.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions on this event group. Kalshi's market requires immediate clarification from the platform. Polymarket markets are tradeable and resolvable; prioritize those for settlement planning. Monitor vlr.gg for official match results and use the 2-hour grace period for result publication before invoking consensus reporting.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
References VCL Latin America North 2026 tournament outcome. States both 'If Chivas Esports wins the VCL Latin America North 2026... resolves to Yes' and 'If LYON wins the VCL Latin America North 2026... resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Scope is tournament-level, not match-specific.Polymarket:
References the specific Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LYON and Chivas Esports (BO3). Match winner resolves to LYON or Chivas Esports based on head-to-head result. Derivative markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap) resolve based on match performance. Cancellation, forfeiture, or delay beyond 7 days without completion resolves to 50-50. Official source is vlr.gg with 2-hour grace period for result publication.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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