TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 9, 2026
Closed: Aug 9, 12:12 AM EST
Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs MIBR (+4.5)
Description
This event group covers the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, a best-of-three series initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00PM ET. Markets span match outcomes, map winners, total games, and round handicaps.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms share identical resolution logic for match outcomes, map winners, and edge cases like cancellations or incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: https://vlr.gg, with video evidence as a secondary source if vlr.gg lagsCore resolution logic:
- Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-three series, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or unresolved outcomes after 7 days
- Map-specific markets resolve based on completed maps only; incomplete or forfeited maps result in 50-50
- Total games markets resolve to Over if 3+ maps are played, Under if fewer, with 50-50 for cancellations or unresolved matches
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is not played at all or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner
- Incomplete match: If the match begins but is not completed, map-specific markets resolve based on completed maps, while match winner and total games resolve to 50-50 unless a team wins via forfeiture
- Forfeit/disqualification: If a team wins due to opponent forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the winning team is declared the winner; if the match ends in a forfeit before play begins, all markets resolve to 50-50
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Leviatán Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner of a specific Valorant match between MIBR and Leviatán Esports scheduled for August 8, 2026. If MIBR wins the match, the MIBR market resolves to Yes; if Leviatán Esports wins, the Leviatán Esports market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Predict
This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 8 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Leviatán Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 2026, scheduled for Aug 9, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by September 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting mechanics. While sportsbooks may set a static spread or moneyline based on analytics, platforms like Polymarket and Predict let traders continuously adjust probabilities based on new information, news, and in-game dynamics. This can create wider or narrower implied probabilities than sportsbooks, especially as team form, player injuries, or strategy shifts emerge before the match.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries or lineup changes, strategic announcements from the teams, and early performance in warm-up matches or other VCT events. Media narratives, coach interviews, and even betting trends on related maps or player-specific markets can also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any surprise roster swaps or tactical revelations may cause rapid re-pricing, especially if one platform’s user base reacts faster than the other.