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Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming?

Volume:
$578,896

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 9:16 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$274,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
19%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$20,709
$11,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$117,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,166
$11,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$82,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,656
$1,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,723
$4,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
50%
33%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
50%
31%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
18%
Yes 18¢No 82¢
—
$8
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
50%
38%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
50%
38%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)

View
50%
37%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks the total rounds played in Map 2 of the Valorant best-of-three match between Karmine Corp and XLG Gaming during VCT Champions Group D. Currently, the consensus probability that the total rounds will be over 19.5 is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution determined by results reported on https://vlr.gg. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the resolution date is estimated for September 25, 2026, representing the end of the betting period for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Resolution criteria are consistent across both Polymarket and Predict, relying on the same primary source (VLR.gg) and handling edge cases (postponement, cancellation, forfeiture) identically.Primary resolution logic: https://vlr.gg

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and XLG Gaming.
  • VLR.gg is the primary source for resolution.
  • If VLR.gg is unavailable within 2 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Postponement requires rescheduling within 14 days; otherwise, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Forfeits/disqualifications/walkovers have specific resolution rules depending on match stage.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement Deadline: If the match is not rescheduled by October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve 50-50, regardless of subsequent rescheduling.
  • Partial Match Completion: If a match begins but is not completed, markets resolve based on completed maps/rounds where a winner is determined, or 50-50 if incomplete.
  • Cancellation/Tie: If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, the overall match winner market resolves to 50-50.
  • Team Name Discrepancies: Minor discrepancies in team names are acceptable, focusing on the underlying real-world match.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, or upon a consensus of credible reporting if VLR.gg is unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and XLG Gaming in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against XLG Gaming. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and XLG Gaming in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against XLG Gaming. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the collective predictions for the Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming match in the VCT Champions Group D stage. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $578,895, with $568,713 traded in the last 24 hours. The Polymarket currently favors Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 with a chance of 94 percent, while Predict leans toward Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner. This allows for a consensus view of the potential outcomes of the Valorant Champions market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, both aim to predict the same real-world events, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between them, encouraging convergence over time.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery; Polymarket might have more active trading on certain aspects of the match, while Predict may focus on others. These dynamics create independent price signals, even for the same underlying event.