TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha
Volume:
$105,650
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
JD Gaming and TEC Esports will compete in a best-of-three Valorant match during VCT China Group Alpha, originally scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The match outcome, individual map winners, total maps played, and map differential will determine resolution across multiple linked markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge fundamentally on what event triggers market resolution. Kalshi resolves based on the match outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket offers granular markets for specific maps and match results, each with distinct resolution criteria and 50-50 tie-breaking rules.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's markets are outcome-only (who wins the match), whereas Polymarket's markets are outcome-specific (Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, match winner, games total, map handicap). If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on match result only. On Polymarket, you can bet on individual map outcomes or aggregate statistics. Be aware that Polymarket's 50-50 resolution for incomplete maps or forfeits differs from Kalshi's simpler binary logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only a single binary market that resolves YES if either TEC Esports or JD Gaming wins the match, with no granular map-level or aggregate statistics markets. The market description states 'If TEC Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If JD Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical tautology where any match outcome resolves to YES, with no NO resolution path specified.
- Polymarket: Aligned with itself (distinct stance): Polymarket offers five separate markets covering match winner, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, games total (O/U 2.5), and map handicap (-1.5/+1.5). Each market has explicit resolution criteria including 50-50 tie-breaking for incomplete maps, forfeits, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days. All markets reference vlr.gg as the primary source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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