TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$277,664,645

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,379,707,856

581,715

Markets across

14,439

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,118

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: ghosts vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$34,181
PredictionHero
Match Winner 100%
polymarket
Map 1 Winner 100%
polymarket
ghosts 100%
kalshi
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 18, 5:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between ghosts and FUT Academy in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "ghosts" if ghosts win the match against FUT Academy. This market will resolve to "FUT Academy" if FUT Academy win the match against ghosts. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market is logically incoherent and unresolvable. It states the market resolves YES if ghosts wins AND if FUT Academy wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve NO. This violates fundamental binary market logic and creates a data integrity failure.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution criteria are contradictory—both outcomes cannot resolve to YES in a binary market. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable; Kalshi's market should be flagged for immediate correction or cancellation.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Five distinct, logically coherent markets covering Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, match winner (BO3), total games over/under 2.5, and map handicap. Each market has clear binary or ternary outcomes with consistent 50-50 fallback rules for cancellation, delays beyond 7 days, incomplete matches, or forfeits. Resolution source is vlr.gg with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Quote: 'This market will resolve to ghosts if ghosts win the match against FUT Academy. This market will resolve to FUT Academy if FUT Academy win the match against ghosts.'
  • Kalshi:

    Single market with contradictory resolution logic. States: 'If ghosts wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If FUT Academy wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If ghosts wins the VCL Türkiye: Birlik 2026...then the market resolves to Yes. If FUT Academy wins the VCL Türkiye: Birlik 2026...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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