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406,019

Markets across

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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports?

Volume:
$508,058

FUT Esports

 - Kalshi

FUT Esports - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 1:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FUT Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101,972
N/A
N/A
$56,116
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gentle Mates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,193
N/A
N/A
$113,517
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Gentle Mates and FUT Esports scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT as part of VCT EMEA Group Alpha. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals, and handicaps across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both 'FUT Esports wins' and 'Gentle Mates wins' conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's match winner logic is coherent and unambiguous.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market until the contradiction is resolved with Kalshi support. All other markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total, Handicaps, Round Totals) are consistent across both platforms and use vlr.gg as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If FUT Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Gentle Mates wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution. No mechanism exists to differentiate between the two teams.
  • Polymarket: Match winner market clearly states: 'This market will resolve to Gentle Mates if Gentle Mates win the match' and 'This market will resolve to FUT Esports if FUT Esports win the match.' Cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay without winner determination resolves to 50-50. Source: vlr.gg with 2-hour credible reporting fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 18 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

This event covers the VCT EMEA 2026 Valorant match between FUT Esports and Gentle Mates scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. Resolution is based on the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports VCT match, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes simultaneously. Polymarket currently features a match-winner market, while Kalshi emphasizes map-level prop bets such as round totals. By tracking both venues, you gain visibility into how different trader populations price the same event, revealing consensus views and identifying arbitrage opportunities. The combined volume across platforms reflects genuine market interest in this competitive Valorant fixture.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust for betting flow. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs directly—prices emerge from supply and demand among participants with real capital at stake. This market-driven approach often surfaces sharp, consensus-heavy pricing faster than traditional venues, especially for niche esports matchups. However, sportsbook odds may reflect deeper liquidity and professional market-making. Comparing both sources helps identify mispriced outcomes and refine your edge.

Team roster changes, player injuries, or last-minute lineup announcements can shift odds significantly in the days leading up to the match. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and map pool adjustments also influence trader sentiment. On match day, early map results and in-game momentum swings drive real-time repricing, especially for prop markets tracking round counts or specific map outcomes. Unexpected technical issues or delays may trigger temporary volatility. Monitor team social media, VCT official updates, and live broadcast commentary to stay ahead of market-moving information.