TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
polymarket
kalshi

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Volume:
$330,187

Map 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Map 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FUT Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,619
N/A
N/A
$21,450
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gentle Mates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,755
N/A
N/A
$32,502
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for April 2 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Gentle Mates. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on fundamentally different event scopes. Polymarket settles on the match outcome (Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports BO3), while Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the match, making Kalshi's market logically unresolvable—it cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market. It resolves YES regardless of which team wins, rendering it a guaranteed YES with no discriminatory power. Polymarket's five markets (match winner, Map 1, Map 2, total games, handicap) are all resolvable and internally consistent. Trade only on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate, outcome-discriminating markets. The primary match market resolves to 'Gentle Mates' if Gentle Mates win, or 'FUT Esports' if FUT Esports win, with 50-50 resolution only for cancellation, tie, or 7-day delay without completion. Map 1, Map 2, total games, and handicap markets follow parallel logic tied to specific match conditions. All markets use vlr.gg as primary source with credible reporting consensus as fallback within 2 hours of conclusion. 'This market will resolve to Gentle Mates if Gentle Mates win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to FUT Esports if FUT Esports win the match against Gentle Mates.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single market is logically broken. It states 'If Gentle Mates wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If FUT Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES in both possible outcomes, making it impossible to distinguish between a Gentle Mates victory and a FUT Esports victory. The market has no NO resolution condition and no discriminatory power. 'If Gentle Mates wins the VCT EMEA 2026: FUT Esports vs. Gentle Mates Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FUT Esports wins the VCT EMEA 2026: FUT Esports vs. Gentle Mates Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.