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Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Volume:
$358,003

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,822
N/A
N/A
$49,755
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xi Lai Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,692
N/A
N/A
$37,091
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Valorant best-of-three match between G2 Esports and XLG Gaming (also referred to as Xi Lai Gaming) in the VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage, scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, map count, map handicap, and individual map outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Xi Lai Gaming win and G2 Esports win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, team name mismatch (Xi Lai Gaming vs XLG Gaming) creates ambiguity. Polymarket markets are logically coherent but operate under different resolution frameworks (binary, over-under, handicap).Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket markets exclusively. Verify that Xi Lai Gaming and XLG Gaming refer to the same entity via official VLR.gg records. All Polymarket markets resolve via VLR.gg within 2 hours of match conclusion, with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Map forfeits count toward totals and handicaps if match completes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If Xi Lai Gaming wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If G2 Esports wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary match outcome. Additionally uses team name 'Xi Lai Gaming' instead of 'XLG Gaming,' creating potential identity ambiguity.
  • Polymarket: Four distinct markets with coherent logic: (1) Match Winner: G2 Esports or XLG Gaming; (2) Games Total O/U 2.5: Over (3+ maps) or Under (<3 maps); (3) Map Handicap G2 (-1.5): G2 wins if +2 map differential, else XLG Gaming; (4) Map 1 Winner and (5) Map 2 Winner: binary outcomes per map. All resolve via VLR.gg with 2-hour publication window; 50-50 for cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.