TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage
Volume:
$358,003
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Valorant best-of-three match between G2 Esports and XLG Gaming (also referred to as Xi Lai Gaming) in the VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage, scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, map count, map handicap, and individual map outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Xi Lai Gaming win and G2 Esports win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, team name mismatch (Xi Lai Gaming vs XLG Gaming) creates ambiguity. Polymarket markets are logically coherent but operate under different resolution frameworks (binary, over-under, handicap).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket markets exclusively. Verify that Xi Lai Gaming and XLG Gaming refer to the same entity via official VLR.gg records. All Polymarket markets resolve via VLR.gg within 2 hours of match conclusion, with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Map forfeits count toward totals and handicaps if match completes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If Xi Lai Gaming wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If G2 Esports wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary match outcome. Additionally uses team name 'Xi Lai Gaming' instead of 'XLG Gaming,' creating potential identity ambiguity.
- Polymarket: Four distinct markets with coherent logic: (1) Match Winner: G2 Esports or XLG Gaming; (2) Games Total O/U 2.5: Over (3+ maps) or Under (<3 maps); (3) Map Handicap G2 (-1.5): G2 wins if +2 map differential, else XLG Gaming; (4) Map 1 Winner and (5) Map 2 Winner: binary outcomes per map. All resolve via VLR.gg with 2-hour publication window; 50-50 for cancellation, tie, or 7+ day delay.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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