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405,232

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Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
polymarket
kalshi

Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha

Volume:
$380,912

MIBR

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MIBR

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,483
N/A
N/A
$15,951
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$208,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,669
N/A
N/A
$16,541
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for April 10 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on scope: Polymarket offers granular individual map markets (Map 1, Map 2, series handicaps, and overall match winner), while Kalshi provides only a single binary market on Map 2 outcome without distinction of winner.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, you can hedge or express views on individual map outcomes and series handicaps. On Kalshi, you can only bet whether Map 2 is played at all (Yes if either team wins it, which is almost certain if the match reaches Map 2). Polymarket offers far more granular settlement points; Kalshi's market is effectively a proxy for 'Does the match reach at least 2 maps?'

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets covering Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, two map handicap variants, and the overall match winner. Each resolves independently based on official vlr.gg data or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. All markets treat forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers as completed maps (except for overall match winner, which resolves 50-50 if the match ends via forfeit before play begins). Key quote: 'Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides a single binary market: 'If MIBR wins map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 1 2026: MIBR vs. G2 Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If G2 Esports wins map 2 in the VCT Americas Stage 1 2026: MIBR vs. G2 Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' This market resolves Yes if either team wins Map 2, and implicitly No only if Map 2 is not played. No resolution source, timing, or edge-case guidance is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.