TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between FUT Esports and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets span the overall match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1 and 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes. All resolution depends on official results from vlr.gg or credible consensus reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes five distinct markets (match winner, map 1, map 2, games total, map handicap) with comprehensive resolution rules, while Kalshi includes only one market focused on map 2 outcome with incomplete resolution logic. The Kalshi market lacks clarity on non-completion scenarios, cancellation, and tie-breaking rules.Hero Tip:
If betting on Kalshi's map 2 market, note that resolution criteria for incomplete matches, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days are undefined—Polymarket's equivalent map 2 market explicitly resolves 50-50 in these scenarios. Polymarket offers more granular markets (match winner, map 1, games total, handicap) that Kalshi does not cover, so cross-platform arbitrage is limited. Stick with Polymarket for comprehensive coverage and clearer edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Provides five interconnected markets with unified resolution source (vlr.gg primary, credible reporting secondary within 2 hours). Map 2 market explicitly resolves 50-50 if not completed, canceled, or delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning. Match winner resolves 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days without a winner. Games total and map handicap count forfeits/walkovers/defaults if match is completed, but resolve 50-50 if match begins but incomplete due to forfeiture. Key quote: 'If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Provides one binary market on map 2 outcome (Team Liquid wins OR FUT Esports wins) with no explicit resolution rules for non-completion, cancellation, delay, or tie scenarios. The market description states only the YES condition ('If Team Liquid wins map 2... then resolves to Yes') and implies a complementary NO condition, but does not specify fallback logic. No secondary resolution source or time-window clause is mentioned. Key quote: 'If Team Liquid wins map 2 in the VCT EMEA 2026: Team Liquid vs. FUT Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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