TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
- Polymarket
Match Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 17, 2026
Closed: Jul 17, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)
Description
This event group covers a Valorant best-of-three match between FULL SENSE and Nongshim RedForce scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET as part of VCT Pacific Group Alpha. Markets span match winner, individual map winners, round totals, and handicaps across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms converge on requiring match completion with official vlr.gg data or credible consensus; forfeits, walkovers, and non-play trigger 50-50 or Other resolution; map and round markets require actual play to completion.Primary resolution logic: Official vlr.gg results; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible consensus reporting including video evidence.Core resolution logic:
- Match winner resolves to the team declared winner by official sources; if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolve 50-50 (Polymarket/Kalshi) or Other (Limitless if past August 17 deadline).
- Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2) resolve based on the team winning that map if played to completion; if map is not played or not completed, resolve 50-50.
- Map total rounds (O/U thresholds at 20.5, 21.5, 22.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined rounds played if map is completed; incomplete maps or forfeits resolve 50-50.
- Map handicap markets (NS -1.5 / FS +1.5 and round-based handicaps) resolve based on map differential or round differential if maps are completed; incomplete maps resolve 50-50.
- Games total (O/U 2.5) resolves Over if 3+ maps played, Under if fewer; forfeits/walkovers during match completion count toward total; if match not completed or canceled, resolve 50-50.
- Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers occurring after match begins are treated as match completion with the winning team declared; if forfeit occurs before match starts, resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Forfeit/Disqualification Timing: If a team forfeits or is disqualified after the match begins, the opponent is declared winner and markets resolve accordingly. If forfeit occurs before match starts, match winner resolves 50-50; map-specific markets resolve 50-50.
- Incomplete Map with Forfeit: If a map is incomplete but the match is decided by forfeit/disqualification, map-specific markets for that incomplete map resolve 50-50; match winner resolves to the team declared winner.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is delayed beyond 7 days from July 17, 2026 without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50 (Polymarket/Kalshi) or Other (Limitless if past August 17 deadline).
- Exact Round Threshold (e.g., 22.5): If combined rounds equal exactly 22.5 (impossible in Valorant but per terms), market resolves 50-50.
- Limitless Deadline (August 17, 2026): Limitless markets resolve to Other if no official result is published by August 17, 2026 23:59 UTC; Polymarket/Kalshi use 7-day delay rule from scheduled date (July 24, 2026).
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant match between FULL SENSE and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Pacific Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FULL SENSE" if FULL SENSE win the match against Nongshim RedForce. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against FULL SENSE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the official result of the full match scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between FULL SENSE and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026, scheduled for Jul 17, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. This means odds adjust continuously based on real money flowing in and out, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market participants include professional traders and informed fans who profit by spotting mispricings, which can lead to tighter margins and faster reaction to breaking news. However, sportsbooks offer fixed odds and promotional incentives that prediction markets typically don't, so comparing both venues helps you find the best value.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions, recent scrim results or tournament performance by either team, patch updates affecting agent viability, and injury or availability news. Pre-match interviews and analyst commentary often shift sentiment as event day approaches. During the match itself, map bans, early round outcomes, and momentum swings will drive rapid repricing on live markets. External factors like server issues or broadcast delays can also trigger volatility. Monitoring team social media, esports news outlets, and live match chat helps you stay ahead of price movements.
