TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between Formulation Gaming and LEO in the VCL NORTH//EAST Group A, scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Maps 1 and 2), total maps played, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (LEO wins and Formulation Gaming wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match-winner market; it is logically incoherent. For all match and map outcomes, rely exclusively on Polymarket's binary resolution framework and vlr.gg as the official source. Verify results within 2 hours of match conclusion; if vlr.gg has not published, use credible video evidence and consensus reporting.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match-winner market resolves to Yes for both LEO victory and Formulation Gaming victory, creating a logical impossibility. No mechanism exists to distinguish between the two outcomes. The market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Match-winner market resolves to Formulation Gaming if they win, LEO if they win. Comprehensive edge-case rules: cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, and incomplete matches (with forfeit/disqualification/walkover) all resolve to 50-50. Forfeits before match start also resolve to 50-50. Forfeits during match (after start) resolve to the winning team. Official source is vlr.gg; credible reporting and video evidence accepted if vlr.gg silent beyond 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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