TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FlyQuest RED vs Shopify Rebellion Gold?

Volume:
$215,931

Shopify Rebellion GC

 - Kalshi

Shopify Rebellion GC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shopify Rebellion GC

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102,801
N/A
N/A
$69,076
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 1 Winner

99%
39%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,368
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

N/A
N/A
5¢
$798
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Match Winner

1%
31%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,525
$1,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FlyQuest RED

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65,890
N/A
N/A
$42,136
Settled
No
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Map 2 Winner

N/A
N/A
—
$70,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5)

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-2.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+2.5)

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-2.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+2.5)

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-2.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: FLY.R (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Shopify Rebellion Gold (-3.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+3.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group covers the Valorant match between FlyQuest RED and Shopify Rebellion Gold in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs. Markets exist for the overall match winner, individual map winners, and the total number of maps played. Resolution relies on official results from vlr.gg, with a fallback to credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Slight differences in forfeiture/disqualification resolution and overall match tie resolution between platforms.Hero tip: Be mindful of the timing of forfeits/disqualifications. Polymarket awards the win if the match has started, while Kalshi always resolves to 50-50. Kalshi also resolves ties to 50-50, while Polymarket does as well.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled or ends in a tie. Forfeits/disqualifications resolve to the winning team if the match begins. "If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team winning. Forfeits/disqualifications resolve to 50-50. "If Shopify Rebellion GC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If FlyQuest RED wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between FlyQuest RED and Shopify Rebellion Gold in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest RED" if FlyQuest RED win the match against Shopify Rebellion Gold. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Gold" if Shopify Rebellion Gold win the match against FlyQuest RED. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the VCT Game Changers North America 2026 Valorant match between Shopify Rebellion GC and FlyQuest RED scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Predict

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between FlyQuest RED and Shopify Rebellion Gold in the VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest RED" if FlyQuest RED win the match against Shopify Rebellion Gold. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion Gold" if Shopify Rebellion Gold win the match against FlyQuest RED. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to a more efficient price discovery process. This market’s odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than a single sportsbook’s assessment. However, sportsbooks may offer different bet types and limits, and may react faster to breaking news than this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to variations in sentiment and price. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $207,858 in 24-hour volume—can influence price stability and responsiveness to new information. These differences contribute to a dynamic pricing landscape across the two venues.