TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$289,551,806

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,385,684,468

582,866

Markets across

14,512

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,139

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: eSports Cologne vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$7,170
PredictionHero
FOKUS 100%
kalshi
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs eSports Cologne (+1.5) 100%
polymarket
Match Winner 0%
polymarket
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 26, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between eSports Cologne and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "eSports Cologne" if eSports Cologne win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against eSports Cologne. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (FOKUS win and eSports Cologne win) are specified to resolve the market to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides no rules, preventing cross-platform consistency verification.

Hero Tip:

This market should not be traded in its current form. The Kalshi rules create a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome resolves to Yes. Escalate to PredictionHero settlement team for rule clarification before any positions are finalized.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Market states: If FOKUS wins, resolve Yes. If eSports Cologne wins, resolve Yes. This covers all possible outcomes and contradicts binary market structure. No resolution path for No outcome exists.
  • Polymarket:

    No detailed rules available for audit. Cannot verify whether Polymarket has corrected or clarified the logical contradiction present in Kalshi rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.