TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
Volume:
$20,094
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between eSports Cologne and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 & 2), total games played, and map handicap outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (eSports Cologne wins OR Eintracht Frankfurt wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary/subset resolution logic with clear winner determination and 50-50 tie-breakers, creating irreconcilable divergence.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market — it is logically broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only on Polymarket, where resolution logic is sound: eSports Cologne wins = eSports Cologne, Eintracht Frankfurt wins = Eintracht Frankfurt, any cancellation/delay/forfeit = 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states: 'If eSports Cologne wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is therefore unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Market uses standard binary logic: resolves to 'eSports Cologne' if eSports Cologne wins, resolves to 'Eintracht Frankfurt' if Eintracht Frankfurt wins. Subsidiary markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap) all use clear winner-determination logic with 50-50 tie-breaker for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits before match start, or incomplete matches. Source is vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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