TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage

Volume:
$20,094

Eintracht Frankfurt

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 21, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eintracht Frankfurt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
$1,473
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs eSports Cologne (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

eSports Cologne

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,360
N/A
N/A
$2,869
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between eSports Cologne and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 & 2), total games played, and map handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (eSports Cologne wins OR Eintracht Frankfurt wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary/subset resolution logic with clear winner determination and 50-50 tie-breakers, creating irreconcilable divergence.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market — it is logically broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only on Polymarket, where resolution logic is sound: eSports Cologne wins = eSports Cologne, Eintracht Frankfurt wins = Eintracht Frankfurt, any cancellation/delay/forfeit = 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If eSports Cologne wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes produce the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is therefore unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Market uses standard binary logic: resolves to 'eSports Cologne' if eSports Cologne wins, resolves to 'Eintracht Frankfurt' if Eintracht Frankfurt wins. Subsidiary markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap) all use clear winner-determination logic with 50-50 tie-breaker for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits before match start, or incomplete matches. Source is vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.