TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Map 1 Winner
- Polymarket
Map 1 Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 2, 2026
Closed: Jul 2, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs EDward Gaming (+8.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-9.5) vs EDward Gaming (+9.5)
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports at the Esports World Cup 2026 Group A, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, round totals across maps, handicaps, and series length, with resolution sourced primarily from vlr.gg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless) apply identical resolution logic: official vlr.gg data, 7-day deadline, 50-50 on cancellation or incomplete play, and consistent treatment of forfeits and walkovers as countable outcomes if match is completed.Primary resolution logic: Official vlr.gg results; credible consensus reporting (including video evidence) if vlr.gg unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome (EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports) resolves to the team winning 2 maps in the BO3 series, or to the team declared winner by forfeit/disqualification/walkover if match is completed.
- Individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2, Map 3) resolve based on which team wins that specific map, provided the map is played to completion.
- Round totals (Over/Under thresholds: 20.5, 21.5, 22.5) resolve based on combined rounds played on that map, including overtime; exact threshold values resolve 50-50.
- Map handicaps (e.g., EDG -2.5) resolve based on the round differential on that specific map; team must exceed the threshold by the stated margin.
- Series handicap (EDG -1.5) resolves based on total maps won; EDG must win 2+ more maps than BBL to resolve to EDG.
- Games Total (O/U 2.5) resolves Over if 3 maps are played, Under if fewer than 3 maps are played.
- Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers count toward map and series totals if the match is completed; incomplete matches or mid-series forfeits resolve 50-50.
- Match must complete or reach decisive outcome by July 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC (7 days from scheduled date); delays beyond this window resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Exact Round Threshold: If combined rounds on any map equal exactly 20.5, 21.5, or 22.5, the market resolves 50-50.
- Map Not Played to Completion: If any map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover rather than rounds played, round-total markets on that map resolve 50-50. Map winner markets resolve based on the declared winner if the map is concluded with a winner determined.
- Match Canceled or Delayed Beyond 7 Days: If the match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond July 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Incomplete Series with Forfeit: If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover, the match-outcome market resolves to the declared winner; series-length and handicap markets resolve 50-50.
- Clinching Map Forfeited: If the clinching map (e.g., Map 3 in a 2-0 scenario) is forfeited, the match is considered completed and resolves to the team winning the series; round-total markets on that forfeited map resolve 50-50.
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against BBL Esports. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026: BBL Esports vs. EDward Gaming Valorant match scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The market resolves based on which team successfully wins the map.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 2, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks and user bases, which can create temporary pricing gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi also structure their markets differently—one may track the overall match winner while the other focuses on individual map outcomes—leading to different liquidity pools and trader compositions. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when prices diverge, though transaction costs and platform fees typically limit profitable cross-platform trading on lower-volume esports events.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries or substitutions, recent tournament performance by either team, and pre-match analysis from esports commentators. Practice scrim results and team statements about preparation can also shift sentiment. Closer to the event date, map bans and team composition choices often trigger sharp price moves as traders refine their edge. Any unexpected roster changes or withdrawal announcements would cause immediate repricing across both platforms.
