TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Dragon Ranger Gaming and XLG Gaming in the VCT China Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win the match against XLG Gaming. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against Dragon Ranger Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market conditions resolve to YES for any map 1 winner (either team), creating a logical contradiction, while Polymarket's markets correctly resolve to specific team outcomes. This fundamental difference in resolution logic makes Kalshi's market uninterpretable as a meaningful prediction.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's map 1 market—it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it a guaranteed win with no predictive value. Polymarket's markets are the only ones with genuine binary outcomes. Focus trading activity on Polymarket for meaningful exposure to this match.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market states 'If XLG Gaming wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dragon Ranger Gaming wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, rendering it logically incoherent and eliminating any real predictive distinction.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers five distinct markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicap, and Match Winner) each with clear binary or categorical outcomes. For example, Map 1 resolves to 'Dragon Ranger Gaming' if they win, 'XLG Gaming' if they win, or 50-50 if incomplete/canceled. All markets use vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
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