TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
Volume:
$23,455
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A best-of-three Valorant match between Dortmund eSports and CGN Esports in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the match outcome, individual map winners, total maps played, and map handicap across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines comprehensive sub-markets with explicit edge-case handling (forfeits, delays, incomplete matches, 50-50 tie-breaking), while Kalshi publishes only a binary match-outcome market with truncated resolution criteria that does not address cancellations, delays, or non-standard completions.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers superior clarity and granularity for match-specific trading. Kalshi's binary structure and incomplete criteria create ambiguity in edge cases (e.g., forfeit, delay beyond 7 days). Traders should prioritize Polymarket sub-markets for precision and request Kalshi clarification on cancellation/forfeit handling before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets: Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Match Winner, and Map Handicap. Each includes detailed resolution logic: matches canceled or delayed >7 days without play resolve 50-50; incomplete maps resolve 50-50; completed maps count even if won by forfeit (except clinching map forfeit, which counts as completed). Primary source: vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If CGN Esports wins...resolves to Yes. If Dortmund eSports wins...resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of cancellations, delays, forfeits, incomplete matches, or tie-breaking. Resolution criteria are incomplete and create logical ambiguity (both outcomes map to Yes).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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